The Future Oriented Thinking Index

A Case Study of the Czech Republic, Greece, Moldova and Switzerland

  • Jan Macháček Palacký University Olomouc
  • Jiří Teichmann Palacký University Olomouc
  • Pavel Nováček Palacký University Olomouc
  • Petr Kladivo Palacký University Olomouc


The aim of this paper is to discuss some key factors in sustainable development and prosperity. One of the most commonly used indicators is Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which measures the economic performance of a country. It is often misinterpreted as an indicator of well-being and the quality of life in a country. The concept of the Future Oriented Thinking Index (FOTI) was first discussed in the journal Foresight (Nováček, 2014). The following shows the calculations for the FOTI of four European countries with different histories and at various stages of economic development. The FOTI is also intended to be drawn up for selected non-European countries, in particular for developing countries. Computation of the Future Oriented Thinking Index can provide an improved insight into why some communities and nations are prosperous and some less so. FOTI might be the main key to prosperity and success.
If future-oriented thinking is an important factor in prosperity, we need an instrument to measure it. The FOTI is closely affiliated with the State of the Future Index (SOFI), developed by Theodore J. Gordon and the Millennium Project. Instead of assessing the “state of the future” – whether the future will improve or deteriorate, as the SOFI does – the FOTI focuses on identifying the ability to take into account future challenges and act accordingly. There are 28 indicators suggested for the FOTI computation.
May 26, 2017
How to Cite
MACHÁČEK, Jan et al. The Future Oriented Thinking Index. Development, Environment and Foresight, [S.l.], v. 3, n. 1, p. 5-19, may 2017. ISSN 2336-6621. Available at: <>. Date accessed: 12 dec. 2019.